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An unemployment rate below 4% is possible. But for how long?

  • Written by Jeff Borland, Professor of Economics, The University of Melbourne

It would be nice to think Australia’s low unemployment rate – now 4.2%, the lowest since August 2008 – is here to stay.

We’ve been waiting a long time to see this. In the decade before the onset of COVID-19 the jobless rate hardly moved. In March 2010 it was 5.4%. Ten years later, in March 2020, it was 5.3%. In between the...

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