At the time of writing we don’t yet know who will win the US presidential election.
But we do know this for sure: Donald Trump will be able to win with less than half the votes cast. Put another way, Joe Biden will be able to lose even if he wins the popular vote.
Election analyst Nate Silver believes Biden would have to win by three to four percentage points to have a better than 50% chance of winning the presidency.
- ^ electoral college (au.news.yahoo.com)
- ^ gerrymandering (www.britannica.com)
- ^ gerrymander (fivethirtyeight.com)
- ^ More Americans are suing over gerrymandered state maps – but the Supreme Court is not likely to step in (theconversation.com)
- ^ motives (research.economics.unsw.edu.au)
- ^ advantaged incumbents (research.economics.unsw.edu.au)
- ^ geographically-sensible (research.economics.unsw.edu.au)
- ^ automatic means (research.economics.unsw.edu.au)
- ^ 4 reasons gerrymandering is getting worse (theconversation.com)
- ^ electoral commission (www.aec.gov.au)
- ^ not required to (www.aph.gov.au)
- ^ Electoral Districts Boundaries Commission (edbc.sa.gov.au)
- ^ which side of politics would benefit (www.themercury.com.au)
- ^ Explainer: how do seat redistributions work? (theconversation.com)
Authors: Richard Holden, Professor of Economics, UNSW